Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 2.400136 2.549362 2.707178 2.887211 3.087772 3.305359 3.560658
2025-12-28 2.162650 2.368055 2.596728 2.872744 3.200437 3.581751 4.066234
2026-01-04 1.976657 2.203615 2.464191 2.789954 3.192937 3.684554 4.345516
2026-01-11 1.872022 2.118202 2.408234 2.781906 3.261228 3.871720 4.737768
2026-01-18 1.814413 2.081087 2.402842 2.829339 3.395980 4.149435 5.279646
2026-01-25 1.895513 2.216184 2.616494 3.169710 3.944841 5.047793 6.862961
2026-02-01 1.776650 2.091034 2.488193 3.045280 3.841173 5.003083 6.986850
2026-02-08 1.663943 1.967850 2.355124 2.904337 3.700457 4.885517 6.967323
2026-02-15 1.602307 1.907656 2.301505 2.868713 3.708080 4.993145 7.348132
2026-02-22 1.535819 1.837875 2.231119 2.804280 3.666362 5.016283 7.577775
2026-03-01 1.466488 1.761502 2.148216 2.716885 3.582688 4.961822 7.650399
2026-03-08 1.388991 1.671647 2.043475 2.592784 3.434456 4.787312 7.463104
2026-03-15 1.346401 1.631672 2.011755 2.582733 3.478266 4.966856 8.078018
2026-03-22 1.303992 1.590786 1.977603 2.568225 3.516172 5.146309 8.756771
2026-03-29 1.248227 1.529030 1.910665 2.499368 3.458223 5.143906 9.025857
2026-04-05 1.215931 1.498123 1.885807 2.492641 3.502246 5.335790 9.816862
2026-04-12 1.199788 1.488739 1.891008 2.532214 3.628045 5.703895 11.205033
2026-04-19 1.250603 1.575601 2.041267 2.814021 4.218257 7.161572 16.834519
2026-04-26 1.197054 1.510472 1.960873 2.711432 4.084281 6.994228 16.808791
2026-05-03 1.142703 1.442709 1.874303 2.594630 3.915362 6.726490 16.300516
2026-05-10 1.113262 1.410317 1.840444 2.565005 3.913019 6.855973 17.509110
2026-05-17 1.079502 1.370596 1.793889 2.511317 3.859095 6.852465 18.161253
2026-05-24 1.042669 1.325414 1.737510 2.438273 3.761706 6.728761 18.209930